Showing posts with label baseball. Show all posts
Showing posts with label baseball. Show all posts

Thursday, April 7, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 1: The Last Burst of Metrodome Magic

2009 American League Central Tiebreaker: Detroit Tigers at Minnesota Twins

October 6, 2009, Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome, Minneapolis, Minnesota

There must have been some magic in that old teflon roof. That's really the only way to explain it. You would walk into the Metrodome on a warm summer night, sit in an uncomfortable seat with bad sightlines in a half-empty dome, and wish the Twins played anywhere but there. But as the weather turned cool in the fall, and the Twins were in contention, the echoes of empty seats in the summer turned into a steady buzz of excitement, and finally the roars from the fans would come and echo and build off each other until nobody could hear anything, and in those moments there was no place the Twins would have rather played. It truly was magical.

The Metrodome was on its last legs in 2009. The Twins were moving to Target Field the next year, leaving behind the stadium that had carried them to two World Championships. And the Twins and their fans couldn't get to their new digs fast enough. After a stretch of four division championship in five seasons, the Twins missed the playoffs in 2007 and 2008 - missing out in the latter after a heartbreaking Game 163 loss to the White Sox - and they seemed to be out of contention as the 2009 season rolled into September. On September 12, the Twins were 70-72, 5.5 games back of Detroit, and the only excitement for fans came from counting down the number of days before they could say goodbye to the Dome for good.

But something stirred in Minnesota. Perhaps it was the old Metrodome Magic waking from its slumber for one final burst of activity. Whatever the reason, the Twins took off, winning 16 of their final 20 games to end the season in a dead heat with the Tigers at the top of the AL Central. The result was a one-game playoff, the second season in a row the Twins played in one. Unlike their 2008 loss, this time they'd be at home. The Metrodome wasn't ready to go away just yet.    

The Metrodome was packed for Game 163, and the fans were at full volume from the beginning, hoping to will the Twins to one more magical win. But they were silenced pretty quickly when Miguel Cabrera (remember him?) blasted a two-run home run to cap a three-run third. The Twins had trailed the Tigers all season long, and now they trailed in Game 163.

The Twins got one back in the bottom of the third, and then the 3-1 score held until the bottom of the sixth, when Jason Kubel visited the upper deck in right to cut the score to 3-2 and knock Tigers starter Rick Porcello out of the game. The Twins then loaded the bases off reliever Zach Miner before Matt Tolbert flew out to center to end the threat.

One thing about the Metrodome, especially in its final decade, was how quickly that home runs seemed to leave the park when hit to left field. It seemed like if the ball was in the air a while, it invariably fell short, but if the ball got out there in a hurry, it cleared the wall rather than caroming off it. Maybe that was just anecdotal. Either way, Orlando Cabrera's home run in the bottom of the 7th with a man on seemed to leave the park in less than a second. The Dome crowd didn't even get to full throttle until the ball was already in the seats. It was out of here just like that, and just like that, the Twins had turned a deficit into a lead.

That phenomenon wasn't limited to Twins batters, either. Magglio Ordoñez proved that by blasting a laser out to left to lead off the top of the 8th for the Tigers. A crowd that had been in full voice was silenced in an instant. 

But they wouldn't stay silent for long. It was apparent now that the Metrodome had something special planned for its swan song.

The first sign that something was up was the top of the ninth, when the Tigers had two runners on and one out against Twins closer Joe Nathan. Nathan got Ordoñez to hit a soft liner to Cabrera at short for the second out, and Cabrera saw Curtis Granderson straying too far off first and threw behind him for the inning-ending double play. 

The Tigers threatened again in the 10th, and this time they didn't come up empty. Brandon Inge hit a two-out double to score pinch-runner Don Kelly and give the Tigers the lead heading into the bottom of the 10th. 

And that's when things got weird.

First was the fly ball Michael Cuddyer hit to left. It was in the air too long, so it wasn't gonna be a home run. But left fielder Ryan Rayburn first went for the catch, then decided to go into a slide to knock it down, and ended up not making contact with the ball at all as it rolled behind him for a triple. After an out and a walk, Tolbert made up for his bases-loaded out earlier in the game with a single to center to tie the game and put the winning run on third with just one out. 

Then things got even weirder. Nick Punto hit a line drive to left that was never going to be a hit, despite what Chip Caray thought. But it did look like it was going to be a game-winning sacrifice fly, until Rayburn threw out Alexi Casilla on a perfect throw home. Even though the throw was good, the ball should have been enough to win the game, except that Casilla didn't go all the way back to third before the catch, so his first step was backwards instead of toward home.

And so the crowd died down again a bit. Time for a breather. Nothing happened in the 11th, which just gave Twins fans more time to rue the flyball that should have ended the game.

Things picked up quickly in the 12th. After one out, the Tigers loaded the bases for Inge, who was temporarily the hero in the 10th. This time, he was hit by the first pitch Bobby Keppel threw to him. Well, technically the ball hit Inge's shirt, not his body, but that still counts as a hit by pitch. Everybody on the field saw it, plain as day - except home plate umpire Randy Marsh, who ignored the pleas from the Tigers players and coaches and said it was simply ball one. Given new life, Keppel got Inge to hit a high-hopper in the infield. Punto flew in from second to field the ball behind the mound and threw on the run to get the force at home. Keppel then worked the count full to Gerald Laird before striking him out. Keppel pumped his fist in celebration, the Metrodome crowd virtually carrying him to the dugout with its noise. 

And the noise never really died down. The Metrodome had woken. The old stadium had one more trick up its sleeve, and the crowd knew it. Carlos Gomez led off the bottom of the 12th with a single and moved to second on a ground out. The fastest player on the Twins was standing on second, needing only a single to win it. The intentional walk to Delmon Young was expected, and it brought up Casilla, giving him a chance to make up for his baserunning blunder. 

Gomez took the lead off second. The crowd was cheering, ready to go. A 1-1 count. 

And then Casilla grounded it to the left side. Young stopped in his tracks to make sure it didn't hit him, then watched it bounce into right field. And there was Gomez, flying around third, his feet barely touching the ground.  And there were the Twins,  streaming out of the dugout, racing him to the plate. There were the fans going crazy, filling the place with a noise that hadn't been heard since 1991. The throw never had a chance. Gomez slid safely, mostly for effect, then jumped up and spiked his helmet. His teammates mobbed him, then mobbed Casilla. Eventually the two groups converged, somewhere near the pitching mound, and they celebrated as if they had just won the World Series.

And the crowd kept cheering. They weren't only cheering for what they just saw, although what they just saw was, quite possibly, the greatest game ever played. They were also cheering as a thank you to the old stadium that they hated so much, but had given them the best memories of their lives as fans. They were cheering as a thank you to one final burst of Metrodome Magic.


2009 American League Central tiebreaker
Overall Rank: 1
Top 10 Swing: 317
Top play: Brandon Inge's go-ahead double in the 10th (WPA of 40% for Detroit)*
Loser's largest WE: 82
Top of the 10th, immediately after Inge's double.
Average LI: 1.93
Highest leverage moment: 7.16 (B10, 1 out, runners on first and third, Detroit up 5-4, Matt Tolbert batting for Minnesota)
*Minnesota's top moment was Orlando Cabrera's game-tying home run in the 7th (WPA of 39%)

  

Wednesday, April 6, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 2: One Strike Away

Game 6, 2011 World Series: Texas Rangers at St. Louis Cardinals

October 27, 2011, Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri

Texas leads series 3-2

There were two strikes when David Freese sent the line drive to deep right. That's what probably made it most painful of all for the Rangers. They were literally one strike away from their first championship, in their 40th season in Texas. And instead of getting that last strike, Rangers closer Neftali Feliz gave up a deep line drive to right field that had Nelson Cruz drifting back.

Oh, right, Cruz was back there. Cruz hadn't yet been relegated to full-time DH duty by 2011 - he was only 30 years old, after all - but he had a big enough sample size for people to realize that his future did not lie in the outfield. The Rangers had a chance to take him out, too - Endy Chavez had pinch-hit for the pitcher the previous inning, so it would have been no problem to do a double-switch to keep Chavez's glove in the game. Plus, Chavez had a history of making series-saving catches against the Cardinals. There was really no reason at all for Cruz to still be back there.

But back there he was. He tried to jump for Freese's hit, but barely missed it, and it hit the wall. And then, the real trouble began, because of instead of dying at the wall, the ball bounced back past Cruz and into mid right field. That allowed Albert Pujols and Lance Berkman - neither of whom were going to win a footrace, unless it was against each other - to both score, and it allowed Freese to make it safely to third for the biggest triple of the 21st Century. And the stunned Rangers were left to wonder how they had blown it again.

Because this wasn't the first lead the Rangers had blown in Game 6. They had blown leads in the 1st, 4th, and 6th innings, too. So you had to admire the Cardinals' resiliency. You could knock them down, but they got right back up again.

The top of the 5th was looking especially big right about now. The Rangers scored once to take a 4-3 lead and ended up loading the bases with two outs. That brought up Colby Lewis, their starting pitcher, which brought up a decision. Lewis had been pitching well, but this was a chance for a knock-out blow, a way to put the game to bed early. It must have been tempting to pinch-hit for Lewis and let the bullpen take care of the rest. But manager Ron Washington didn't have anybody warming up, and if the pinch-hitter failed, and quickly, the reliever wouldn't have been ready in time. So he let Lewis hit, and Lewis struck out, and the lead stayed at 1.

We've already established the Cardinals were resilient, and that showed in the bottom of the sixth. They loaded the bases in the bottom of the sixth with just one out, knocking Lewis out of the game, and reliver Alexi Ogando promptly walked Yadier Molina to tie the game. Busch Stadium was rocking, and not for the last time of the night, and Ogando couldn't find the strike zone. But his catcher, Mike Napoli, bailed him out by picking Matt Holliday off of third base. (You remember Matt Holliday, right?) Immediately after the pickoff, Ogando threw a wild pitch, which would have scored a run if not for Napoli's throw; after walking Nick Punto (Nick Punto!), Ogando was mercifully removed and Derek Holland helped the Rangers escape the inning.

And then came the 7th inning, which started with back-to-back home runs from Adrian Beltre and Cruz. See, the Rangers had a little bit of resiliency of their own. They added another run for a 7-4 lead, and at that point, if the Rangers themselves weren't counting the outs, you know their fans were.

Allen Craig hit a home run in the bottom of the 8th for the Cardinals, but that was only one of the three runs they needed. After three straight St. Louis singles loaded the bases with two outs, Rafael Furcal grounded out to reliver Mike Adams, and the Rangers were three outs away.

And that brought us to the bottom of the 9th, and a 1-2 count on Freese, and a deep line drive to right. You could knock the Cardinals down, but they got back up again. And they almost ended it on the next batter, when Molina hit a sinking liner to right, but Cruz made a nice running catch to keep the game alive.

And the Rangers kept countering. This time it was Josh Hamilton, batting in the top of the 10th with one on and one out, hitting the first pitch he saw out to deep right for the Rangers' second two-run lead in as many innings. Once again, the Cardinals fought back, only for the Rangers to respond. A pair of heavyweights trading haymakers.

Once again, the Cardinals fought back. The first two batters of the bottom of the 10th singles. Pitcher Kyle Lohse, pinch-hitting, bunted them over. A grounder from Ryan Theriot scored one, but now there were two outs. Again the Rangers were one out from winning, and the Cardinals were on the canvas. Again, one out away turned into one strike away as Scott Feldman got Berkman to a 2-2 count. And again, the Cardinals bounced up off the canvas and delivered a counterpunch, this time with a single to center that tied the game.

The Rangers were in shock. The Cardinals were in raptures. Busch Stadium was shaking. And though it wasn't technically over yet, it might as well have been. The Rangers went down mostly quietly in the top of the 11th. Maybe the fight had been beaten out of them. Leading off the bottom of the 11th was that man again, David Freese. Cruz wasn't in right anymore, finally replaced by Esteban German, a defensive replacement coming two innings too late.

But German, couldn't do anything about the ball Freese hit next. Chavez couldn't have done anything either, for that matter, nor Cruz. Hamilton started back in center, turned his body as the ball drifted, then stopped, took one look at where the ball was headed, then started jogging back to the dugout before it even landed.

Fans scrambled for the ball on the grassy hill beyond center. Joe Buck channeled his father. Fireworks went off beyond the stadium's walls, their light bouncing off the Gateway Arch. The Cardinals leapt out of the dugout in joy. Freese jogged around the bases - you can run a little slower on a home run than on a triple - and then met his teammates at home plate. The Cardinals had thrown the last, decisive punch.

The Rangers were spent. They had twice been one strike away from a championship and let it slip away. And they couldn't put up much of a fight as the Cardinals rode the wave to a comfortable win in Game 7. It was the Cardinals' 11th title, the second-highest total in baseball history. The Rangers are still looking for their first.

Game 6, 2011 World Series
Overall Rank: 2
Top 10 Swing: 286
Top play: David Freese's game-tying triple (WPA of 54% for St. Louis)
Loser's largest WE: 96
Bottom of the 9th, 1 out, Texas up 7-5, Albert Pujols batting for St. Louis
Average LI: 1.71
Highest leverage moment: 6.47 (B10, 2 outs, runners on first and second, Texas up 9-8, Lance Berkman batting for St. Louis)

  

Tuesday, April 5, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 3: The Tragedy of Donnie Moore

Game 5, 1986 ALCS: Boston Red Sox and California Angels

October 12, 1986, Anaheim Stadium, Anaheim, California

California leads series 3-1

What if Donnie Moore hadn't give up that home run? What if, instead of hanging the 2-2 splitter that Dave Henderson hit out for the biggest Red Sox home run in 11 years, Moore instead threw a great splitter, or simply blew Henderson away with a fastball? What if Moore succeeded in the biggest stage of his life? Would that have changed what happened next?

But why stop at Moore?

What if Mike Witt had been able to finish the 9th? After all, it wasn't Moore who started the 9th inning, when the Angels had a 5-2 lead, needing just three outs to reach the promised land. That Witt, the Angels' ace. Witt had completely shut down the Red Sox in a complete game victory in Game 1, and he was doing it again in Game 5, the one that could put the Angels in the World Series. But Witt didn't finish the ninth. Instead, he gave up a one-out home run to Don Baylor that cut the Angels lead to 5-4. 

And while we're at it, what if Angels manager Gene Mauch hadn't stepped out of the dugout one batter later, with the Angels one out from winning? What if Mauch hadn't taken the ball from his ace to set up a lefty-lefty matchup for the final out? Going to Gary Lucas to face Rich Gedman was kind of an odd choice, because he wasn't the Angels closer, having gotten only two saves all year, and he had gotten lit up in Game 2 of the series. But Gedman had homered off Witt earlier in the game, and Mauch didn't want that to happen again. And it so was Lucas who pitched, and it was Lucas who hit Gedman on the first pitch he threw, his first hit batter in four years.

Excitement and exasperation
That was when Mauch turned to Moore, and, well, we saw what happened next. But what if Moore hadn't been pitching through pain all year? He hadn't told anybody, but he had an undiagnosed bone spur near his spine, the pain of which altered his pitching motion, which in turn led to elbow and shoulder pain. So he was getting pain shots for his back, cortisone shots for his shoulder, and was suffering migraines. Moore probably shouldn't have even been out there. But he was, and Henderson hit the home run, and the Angels were toast.

Except they weren't. Because that home run didn't end the game. It just seemed that way at the time. There was still the bottom of the 9th to play, and the Angels rather quickly tied the game again on a ground ball single by Rob Wilfong. And they weren't done, either, as a single and an intentional walk loaded the bases with one out. 

So what if Doug DeCinces' fly ball had been hit a little deeper rather than right at Dwight Evans' glove in right? What if Bobby Grich's two-out line drive had been a foot higher rather than right at pitcher Steve Crawford? The Angels would have been celebrating, that's what. Henderson's home run would have been quickly forgotten.

Moore was still in the game in the top of the 11th, although he absolutely should not have been. That just seemed to be the way things worked back then - if the closer blows the game, he stayed in until the game was over. Just because it happened doesn't mean it was right. An exhausted Moore hit the leadoff batter, then gave up a single. Then Gedman came up to bunt and hit a bad one - in the air toward third - but DeCinces let it drop and threw poorly to first. That wasn't Moore's fault, was it? And then came Henderson - that man again. Instead of having a base open to put him on, Moore had to face him. And Henderson hit a sacrifice fly to give Boston the lead again.

The Angels had another chance, of course. But they went down weakly in the bottom of the 11th. But what if they had shown some fight once the series went back to Boston? Would anybody have remembered Game 5? But as it was, the Angels kept up the weak play. They got crushed in Games 6 and 7, and Boston celebrated. We know how Boston's season ended. But what of Donnie Moore?

Many Angels players had to fail for them to blow a 3-1 series lead and a 5-2 lead in Game 5. But it's convenient to blame the closer when things go wrong. He was the one who gave up the go-ahead home run, after all. It's inconvenient to remember all the other points of failure. So Angels fans placed the blame on Moore for the next few years. And he placed the blame on himself. 

Immediately after Game 5, Moore mentioned the injuries he had been playing through, then quickly dismissed them, as if even suggesting that he was hurt went against baseball's code. So he took the blame, took the verbal abuse from Angels fans, became a symbol of his team's failure. Because he was the one who gave up the home run. (It may also not be a coincidence that of all the people mentioned who failed for the Angels, Moore was the only one who was a black man.)

It's also convenient to blame the home run for what happened next, the quick end to Moore's career, and the sudden, tragic end to his life. It was an easy narrative: Player fails at the worst possible time, then spirals. But Moore had been violent toward his wife their entire marriage, through good times and bad. It's possible his ending had already been written. It's possible that a save in Game 5, and a World Championship a week or so later, would have changed nothing.

But it all happened. It should have been a great moment for the Red Sox, a franchise-defining home run. But because of what happened after - both on and off the field - it instead has become one of the tragic tails in baseball history. 

Game 5, 1986 ALCS
Overall Rank: 3
Top 10 Swing: 278
Top play: Dave Henderson's game-tying home run (WPA of 73% for Boston)
Loser's largest WE: 97
Entire bottom of the 8th, California up 5-2
Average LI: 1.57
Highest leverage moment: 6.39 (B9, 2 outs, bases loaded, tied 6-6, Bobby Grich batting for California)

  


Monday, April 4, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 4: A 97-Year Wait

Game 5, 1980 NLCS: Philadelphia Phillies at Houston Astros

October 12, 1980, Astrodome, Houston, Texas

The 1883 season was the eighth in the history of the National League and the first for the Philadelphia Phillies. Then known as the Quakers, Philadelphia finished 17-81, 46 games behind the first-place Boston Beaneaters and 23 games behind the seventh-place Detroit Wolverines. The next year didn't get much better, or the one after that, or the one after that. In fact, in the first 97 seasons of Philadelphia Quakers/Phillies history, they won the National League pennant exactly twice: In 1915, they were crushed in the World Series by the Red Sox, and in 1950, they were eviscerated by the Yankees. 

Two pennants, and no championships, in 97 seasons is not exactly the definition of success. By this time, 15 of the 16 franchises who existed in 1903, the year of the first World Series, had won it all at least once. The Phillies were the exception. But there were signs of optimism in the 1970s. They won three straight division championships in the mid-70s, and though they failed each time to advance to the World Series, the core of that team was still together in 1980. After another division championship, there was hope that this would finally be the year.

Waiting for the Phillies in the NLCS was the Houston Astros. Houston wasn't nearly as old of a franchise as Philadelphia - the unfortunately named Houston Colt .45s debuted in 1962 - and they weren't quite so bad, either, but 1980 represented their first-ever taste of postseason play. So regardless of who won the 1980 NLCS, somebody's fans were going to celebrate a once-in-a-generation season.

That once-in-a-generation season culminated in a once-in-a-generation series. After a sixth-inning comeback gave the Phillies a Game 1 win, each of the next three games went into extra innings, forcing a deciding Game 5 in Houston. And the fans in a packed Astrodome got to watch a game that was somehow even better than the four that preceded it.

Houston was trailing 2-1 in the bottom of the sixth when Phillies left fielder Greg Luzinski dropped a fly ball to allow Denny Walling to get to second. Two batters later, Alan Ashby hit a single to score Walling, tie the game, and knock Phillies starter Marty Bystrom out of the game. 

And that's when things really got started.

Houston got a leadoff single from Terry Puhl in the bottom of the 7th, then wasted two outs getting him over to second. After an intentional walk, Walling got involved again, hitting a single to give the Astros a 3-2 lead. After a run-scoring wild pitch and a pitching change, Art Howe gave Houston some breathing room with a triple to make it 5-2.

So Houston was up by three and Nolan Ryan was on the mound. In his first year with his hometown Astros after terrorizing the American League for eight years, Ryan actually had a below-average season in 1980 - below average for him, at least. But there was still no one Houston would rather have on the mound to clinch the pennant.

Except Bowa started the 8th with a single to center. Bob Boone then singled off Ryan's glove, and Greg Gross singled when Ryan fielded his sacrifice attempt and found no one to throw the ball to. And so in the span of five pitches, the Phillies loaded the bases with nobody on, and Pete Rose was coming to the plate.

In retrospect, it's really an incredible at bat. At the plate was Rose, baseball's future all-time hits leader. On the mound was Ryan, baseball's future strikeout king. And the bases were loaded in an elimination game. Anticlimactically, Rose drew a walk, though doing so did bring in a run and knock Ryan out of the game. 

Keith Moreland then grounded into a force play to bring home the second run of the inning. Future Hall-of-Famer Mike Schmidt was up next, but he struck out looking, leaving it up to pinch-hitter Del Unser. Unser singled to tie the game, and then Manny Trillo delivered what looked like the fatal blow, a two-run triple that put the Phillies six outs from the pennant.

Closer Tug McGraw came in for the 8th for Philadelphia, and he alternated between giving up singles and getting strike outs for the first four batters. Rafael Landestoy continued the pattern with a single to make it a one-run game, and if the pattern had continued, Jose Cruz would have then struck out. Cruz, though, apparently hates patterns, and he instead singled to tie the game again.

To no one's surprise, the game went into extra innings again. Because with this series, extra innings seemed predestined. And maybe it was destiny that gave the Phillies two 10th-inning doubles, the second by Garry Maddox to give them an 8-7 lead. 

Garry Maddox got the game-winning hit, and he
caught the series-ending out.
Perhaps thinking that Phillies fans had suffered enough, the baseball gods decided to let the Phillies have a clean 1-2-3 bottom of the 10th, with the final two outs ending up in Maddox's glove in center field. For the third time in 97 years, the Phillies were the National League champions.

Nine days later, the 97-year wait was over. The team formerly known as the Quakers had done what had seemed impossible, winning the World Series with a Game 6 win over the Royals. Finally, all 16 original teams had won a title.


Game 5, 1980 NLCS
Overall Rank: 4
Top 10 Swing: 243
Top play: Manny Trillo's go-ahead triple in the 8th (WPA of 40% for Philadelphia)
Loser's largest WE: 95
End of the 7th, Houston up 5-2
Average LI: 1.88
Highest leverage moment: 5.38 (T8, 0 outs, bases loaded, Houston up 5-3, Keith Moreland up for Philadelphia)

 

Sunday, April 3, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 5: A 41-Year Wait

Game 1, 1995 ALDS: Boston Red Sox at Cleveland Indians

October 3, 1995, Jacobs Field, Cleveland, Ohio 

The first pitch came at 8:44 at night, a late start in Cleveland because of a rain shower that passed over Jacobs Field. That didn't matter much to the sellout crowd, though; it had been 41 years and one day since postseason baseball had been played in Cleveland. Fans that had been waiting that long could surely wait another hour or so.

Before the 1995 season, the last postseason baseball game played Cleveland had been Game 4 of the 1954 World Series, when the New York Giants completed a stunning World Series sweep at Cleveland's Municipal Stadium. In the years that followed, not only did Cleveland never get back to the playoffs, but they never came particularly close. After spending most of the 1950s as the American League team most likely to challenge the Yankees, Cleveland eventually became synonymous with losing. They were so bad in the 70s and 80s that they became the "stars" of a movie about a bad baseball team that miraculously became good. 

There was nothing miraculous about Cleveland in 1995, though. They were simply dominant. They were robbed of a postseason berth the previous year, sitting in the Wild Card spot when the postseason was cancelled. But the young stars of 1994 were a year more experienced in 1995, and the American League didn't have a chance. Cleveland won 100 games in a shortened season, their first time winning 100 games since the aforementioned 1954 team won 111. They were the best hitting team in baseball, one of the best pitching teams, and they, quite simply, seemed unstoppable.

So a little rain wasn't going to dampen the fans' mood. Forty-one years is a long time to wait, and the fans were already buzzing when Dennis Martinez's first pitch was delivered at 8:44. 

But Cleveland fans were decidedly less quiet after John Valentin homered off Martinez in the top of the 3rd to give Boston a 2-0 lead. And they stayed quiet as Red Sox ace Roger Clemens shut down the Cleveland lineup through five innings. (It's a testament to Clemens' longevity that he pitched in two other games in this countdown, one in 1986 and one in 2005.) The Cleveland fans certainly didn't wait 41 years just to watch their team get shut out.

Clemens started the top of the 6th with two quick outs before walking Omar Vizquel. Sensing their opportunity, Cleveland pounced. Carlos Baerga made contact on a hit-and-run play, and his hit bled through the hole vacated by the shortstop going to cover the steal attempt. Now Cleveland had runners on the corners, and Albert Belle walked to the plate. 

Belle probably should have won MVP in 1995 after his 50-homer, 52-double season, but he likely lost some voters because of his corked bat incident the previous season, and he ended up losing the race by one vote to Boston's Mo Vaughn. As he stepped into the box with two outs in the 6th, though, the people watching yet didn't know the results of the MVP vote and assumed Belle would win. He reinforced that belief with a towering double to left that scored both runners, the second one scoring when Boston catcher Mike Macfarlane dropped the throw. Before Cleveland fans had a chance to come down from their delirium, Eddie Murray singled on the next pitch to drive in Belle and give Cleveland the lead. 

It was the first time Cleveland had the lead in a home playoff game since 1948. The fans were ecstatic. It was just like Major League, including Bob Uecker in the broadcast booth. They finally had a winning team.

The party ended in the top of the 8th, when  Luis Alicea lead off the inning with a game-tying home run. Now instead of a celebration, the game turned into the kind of endless tension that's unique to baseball, where every pitch has the potential to be world-changing, every baserunner bringing hope or dispair, depending on which jersey he was wearing. Cleveland hadn't seen much in the way of joy in the previous 41 years, but this might have been more than the fans had bargained for.

The clock changed to midnight, then blew past it. The innings charged along, each team threatening to score then seeing the rallies fizzle out. But then Tim Naehring swung at a bad 0-2 curveball in the op of the 11th and knocked it over the big wall in left, and suddenly the Red Sox had the lead. 

If Cleveland fans were nervous, they didn't show it when the bottom of the inning rolled around. After all, the heart of the order was due up, starting with Belle. Belle's double in the 6th had hit off the very top of the left field wall; his blast in the bottom of the 11th was hit just a little bit higher. Tie game. Again. This time, remembering his suspension from the previous year, the Red Sox asked the umpires to confiscate his bat. There was no real reason to do it, since there was no way the bat could be checked in time to annul the home run. All it really did was fire up Cleveland and its fans; two more runners reached base in the bottom of the 11th before the inning finally ended, and Cleveland's offense continued to hum in the 12th. With two runners on and one out, Boston intentionally walked Belle - they weren't going to let him hit anymore. Eddie Murray then hit a weak grounder to third that Naehring had to make a good play on to get the runner at home. Jim Thome then grounded to first, and the inning was over.

The clock edged past 1:00 and started approaching 2:00. Bob Uecker and Bob Costas joked that instead of tuning in to Game 2 later that day, viewers might be still watching this one. They entered that stage of broadcast delirium where they kept talking but nothing made sense anymore. In the bottom of the 13th, in the middle of a monologue about emergency catchers, Cleveland's backup catcher Tony Pena worked the count to 3-0. Bob Costas made yet another joke about Uecker's playing career. Uecker was about to deliver the punchline.  

Then came a grooved fastball, an explosive swing, an emphatic bat flip. Then came Bob Costas yelling "Oh man, oh man!" Then came Pena running around the bases, both arms in the air, a big grin on his face. Then came the fireworks going off in centerfield, the crowd jumping and screaming. Then came the beginning of a celebration that would last the rest of the night.

A celebration 41 years in the making.




 
Game 1, 1995 American League Division Series
Overall Rank: 5
Top 10 Swing: 276
Top play: Pena's winning home run (WPA of 46% for Cleveland)
Loser's largest WE: 80
Top of the 11th, 1 out, right after Naehring's home run
Average LI: 1.94
Highest leverage moment: 6.39 (B12, 2 outs, bases loaded, tied 4-4, Jim Thome batting for Cleveland)

Saturday, April 2, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 6: I'll Tell a Story

Game 4, 1988 NLCS: Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets

October 9, 1988, Shea Stadium, Queens, New York

Mets lead 2-1 

As Game 4 of the NLCS was finally over and everybody watching was finally able to let out their breath, Al Michaels asked "When you write the story of this game, where do you begin?" But unlike his slightly more famous question, Michaels didn't answer this one for his viewers.

So where do you begin to tell the story of Game 4?

Maybe you begin with Orel Hershiser, the Dodgers ace who ended the 1988 season with a Major League record 59 consecutive scoreless innings. He pitched six times in September and didn't give up a run, five complete games and one 10-inning game where he finally had to be pulled to rest for the playoffs. Riding a record-breaking hot streak, Hershiser shut out the Mets through 8 innings of Game 1. But Hershiser then gave up his first run since August on a ninth-inning double by Darryl Strawberry, then he watched from the bench as the Dodgers bullpen blew the rest of the game to give the Mets a 1-0 series lead.

Or perhaps you begin to tell the story by talking about a key member of that Dodgers bullpen. Jay Howell was the Dodgers' closer in 1988, the anchor of what was (during the regular season at least) a very good group of relievers. A rainout pushed Game 3 back a day and allowed Hershiser to start again, and while a probably tired Hershiser wasn't nearly as sharp, he pitched well enough to give the Dodgers a 4-3 lead entering the 8th. Howell came in to relieve at that point, threw five pitches, then watched as Mets manager Davey Johnson walked toward home plate umpire Joe West. Johnson asked West to check Howell's glove; West did exactly that, discovered the secret stash of pine tar Howell had on the inside of his glove, then tossed Howell from the game. The Dodgers melted down and lost the game, then lost Howell for the next three games as his automatic suspension took effect.

I was going to write something else about Gibson
here, but I just noticed this - does he have two
batting gloves in his hands and one in his pocket? 
Or am I crazy?
Or I suppose you begin to tell the story by talking about Kirk Gibson. After a decade as the Tigers' physical and emotional leader, Gibson joined the Dodgers as a free agent in 1988. His signing paid immediate dividends, as he won the National League MVP award by being essentially the only Dodger who could hit. But Gibson stopped hitting in the NLCS, going 1-for-11 in the first three games as he was fighting a leg injury. If the Dodgers were going to come from behind in the series, Gibson would have to turn things around.

Or maybe you begin to tell the story in the 12th inning, when all those storylines converged.

But to tell about the 12th inning, you have to get through the first 11 first.

In 1988, Doc Gooden had taken a step back from his career peak - cocaine suspensions will do that to you - but he was still a feared pitcher as he took the mound in Game 4 for his second start of the series. It was a little surprising when the Dodgers scored two runs off Gooden in the first, but then Gooden bared down, as aces tend to do, and started shutting down the Dodgers. The Mets scored three in the 4th and one in the 6th, and Gooden did the rest. The Mets took a 4-2 lead entering the 9th, and the Dodgers looked cooked: They were trailing 2-1 in the series, Hershiser had been used twice already, their closer was suspended, and their best hitter wasn't hitting. It looked like the series was about to be 3-1.

So now you can start to tell the story.

Maybe Gooden was tired to start the 9th. He had already thrown more than 120 pitches, just four days after throwing 101 in Game 1. Or maybe he was a bit too relaxed, knowing a two-run lead was probably enough. Whatever the reason, he walked centerfielder John Shelby to lead off the 9th. And right as the announcers were trying to figure out the best way to talk about the dangers of walking the leadoff batter, Mike Scioscia drilled the first pitch over the wall in right to tie the game.

Now it was a battle of the bullpens, and the Dodgers were missing one of the key parts of theirs. So they handed the ball to Alejandro Pena and said "good luck." Pena gave them three shutout innings; he walked two in the bottom of the 11th, but escaped without giving up the winning run. 

So it was on to the 12th. After two quick outs, Gibson came up. Now 1-for-16 in the series and noticeably struggling to walk, this was his chance to atone for his bad series and show the Dodgers why they signed him. And after one strike, he delivered, hitting his biggest home run as a Dodger - to that point, anyway.

The Dodgers, improbably, had the lead. But now they had to deal with the minor problem: their closer was in a hotel room, suspended, and they were almost out of pitchers. 

They first tried Tim Leary as a closer. Leary was normally a starter, but lost his turn to start when Game 3 got delayed, so he was making his first appearance of the series. And maybe because he wasn't normally a reliever, he allowed the first two Mets to reach base. Leary got a break when Gregg Jefferies tried to bunt, failed, and flied to left instead.

So there was one out, and two lefties coming up, so the Dodgers turned to Jesse Orosco. Two years earlier, Orosco had been on the mound to close out the 1986 World Series for the Mets. Now he was essentially a lefty specialist, so this should have been in his wheelhouse. But he walked lefty Keith Hernandez to load the bases, then threw a first-pitch ball to the lefty Darryl Strawberry. At this point, Dodgers manager Tommy Lasorda jumped out of the dugout, jogged to the mound, asked Orosco what the hell he was doing, then walked back to the dugout. Orosco must have said something like "I'm just setting Strawberry up so I can get him to pop out to second," because that's what he did.

So now there were two outs, but a righty was up next, and Lasorda didn't want Orosco to face a righty. He was out of relievers. His closer was in a hotel room. But if you looked again, you saw there was one man in the Dodgers bullpen.

Hershiser certainly didn't expect to pitch in Game 4 after starting Game 3. He absolutely wasn't in condition to - even the best pitchers need some rest. But there he came, jogging in from the bullpen to try to get the final out. Any hit by Kevin McReynolds wins the game for the Mets and essentially puts the series to bed. Any out wins the game for the Dodgers and ties the series.

Hershiser jammed McReynolds. McReynolds hit a soft fly ball to center, shallow enough that Shelby was running in and the infielders were running out. Then Shelby got there, closing his glove on the ball, and Al Michaels was asking questions.

...................

Howell came back to the active roster for Game 7, but he wasn't needed. Hershiser found his late-season groove again and threw a complete game shutout to send the Dodgers to the World Series. 

Gibson got (even more) hurt running the bases in Game 7 and had to leave early. He only had one more at bat in 1988. You may have heard of it.

Howell finally got to pitch again in Game 3 of the World Series, when he gave up a walk-off home run to Mark McGwire. He recovered to get the save in Game 4, though.

So it was Gibson giving them the win in Game 1, Howell saving Game 4. The other two games belonged to Hershiser, who threw complete games in Games 2 and 5 to give the Dodgers the title.
 
Game 4, 1988 National League Championship Series
Overall Rank: 6
Top 10 Swing: 245
Top play: Gibson's winning home run (WPA of 43% for Los Angeles)
Loser's largest WE: 95
Middle of the 8th, Mets up 4-2
Average LI: 1.74
Highest leverage moment: 10.73 (B12, 2 outs, bases loaded, Los Angeles up 5-4, Kevin McReynolds batting for New York)

Friday, April 1, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 7: Two Games for the Price of One

Game 4, 2005 NLDS: Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros

October 9, 2005, Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas

Astros lead 2-1 

The first surprise was that Brad Ausmus was batting here. Two outs in the ninth, Houston trailing 6-5 - it seemed like a perfect time to go pinch hit for the catcher who was only 2-for-15 in his career against this reliever. And right there on the bench, sitting right behind his manager and holding a bat, was Jeff Bagwell. You can find a picture of Bagwell now hanging on the wall in Cooperstown. So why couldn't we find him in the batters' box in a situation where a home run would tie the game? 

The second surprise was that Kyle Farnsworth was still in the game. Atlanta's bullpen was running on fumes, sure, but Farnsworth had pitched the entire 8th inning, a frame that included a grand slam by Lance Berkman that turned a Braves runaway into a nail biter. Surly a fresh reliever was a better option. Or maybe manager Bobby Cox knew Farnsworth's past success against Ausmus and figured he was as good a choice as anybody.

When it came down to it, with all the numbers examined and players considered, both managers chose to trust the guy they had. Houston's Phil Garner ended up being right. Ausmus hit a fly ball that hit the wall right at the corner of the yellow home run line on Minute Maid Park's left field wall and caromed into play. At first the Braves outfielders scrambled after it, hoping they could keep the slow-running catcher to a double. But there was the second-base umpire making the home run signal, and there was Ausmus jogging around the bases, and there was Cox in the dugout, now probably out of relievers he trusted, thinking "now what?"    

If he only knew. Ausmus' home run rescued Houston from defeat and temporarily delayed their travel plans to Atlanta for Game 5. As impossible as it might have seemed entering the bottom of the eighth - when Atlanta held a 6-1 lead thanks in large part to a third-inning grand slam from Adam LaRoche - this game was going into extra innings. And extra, and extra, and extra...

This should have been quick for Houston. Their bullpen had already proven itself in this series, while Atlanta's had been a disaster. But it was the playoffs, and nothing was supposed to be easy in the playoffs. 

Houston could have scored in the bottom of the 10th, when they had two men on with two outs and finally played their Bagwell card. But Bagwell got jammed, and his fly ball to left hung in the air just long enough for Ryan Langerhans to run underneath it.

Atlanta could have scored in the top of the 11th, with two men on with two outs, but Julio Franco grounded out. They also could have scored in the top of the 14th, when they loaded the bases with one out, but Dan Wheeler struck out Brian McCann and got Pete Orr to ground to third. And so they played on.

Wheeler was Houston's last available reliever, so Game 2 starter Roger Clemens eventually wandered out to the bullpen to warm up. And as both teams kept failing to score, Clemens had to come in - as a pinch hitter in the bottom of the 15th with a runner on first. Clemens only had to bunt, of course, and he moved the runner over. But the Astros again didn't score, the threat ending on a double play, and so they played on.

Clemens was pitching because the Astros were out of relievers, but they were also out of position players. So as he shut down the Braves, all the way to the 18th inning - the first postseason game to ever enter the 18th inning, two games for the price of one - Clemens' spot in the batting order came up again. And since there was nobody left on the bench to pinch hit for him - and nobody in the bullpen to come in to replace the pinch hitter. Clemens had to bat. And he did what any pitcher would do when batting in the 18th inning of a playoff game - he swung as hard as he could, struck out swinging, and walked back to the bench to hope for a run.

It was finally over.
And the run finally came. Chris Burke hadn't started the game; he came in as a pinch runner for Berkman in the 10th. He had played center, and then left, as Garner moved the Astros around the field to accommodate pinch-hitters and double switches. So when he came to the plate with one out in the 18th, he had played almost an entire game despite entering the game in extra innings. He had already flied out to left once in extra innings. For his second time up, he hit one just a little bit farther. 

Burke's series-ending home run - only the 8th in Major League history at that point - sent the Astros to the NLCS, where they finally got past the Cardinals and into the World Series. And we've seen what happened in that series.
 
Game 4, 2005 National League Division Series
Overall Rank: 7
Top 10 Swing: 235
Top play: Brad Ausmus' game-tying home run in the 9th (WPA of 49% for Houston)
Loser's largest WE: 98
T8, entire inning after Atlanta takes a 6-1 lead.
Average LI: 1.69
Highest leverage moment: 6.88 (T14, 2 outs, bases loaded, game tied 6-6, Pete Orr batting for Atlanta)

Thursday, March 31, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 8: They Called Him Pudge

Game 3, 2003 National League Division Series: San Francisco Giants at Florida Marlins

October 3, 2003, Pro Player Stadium, Miami, Florida

Series tied 1-1

How Game 4 ended. Who looks like
they're in more pain here? The catcher
or the runner?

If you're familiar with this series, it's because you know how it ended: With San Francisco's J.T. Snow plowing into Florida's Ivan Rodriguez at the plate, hoping to knock the ball out of Rodriguez's glove to tie Game 4 in the bottom of the 9th. Rather than drop the ball, Rodriguez held on, giving the Marlins the series win. After being mobbed by teammates, Rodriguez escaped from the pile and held the ball aloft in his bare had, showing the world that it was still there. It was the iconic moment of a Hall-of-Fame career.

It was, of course, a little strange that his iconic moment came as a member of the Marlins. In 2003, after more than a decade with the Texas Rangers, the man called Pudge had done everything you could ask for. He was best fielding catcher of his generation, possibly of all time, and he was a consistent .300 hitter with good power. He had even won a league MVP award. The only thing man called he hadn't done with the Rangers was win in the playoffs. For all his brilliance, the Rangers only went to the postseason three times during Rodriguez's time there, only winning one game on those series. He was a great player who didn't get a chance to shine on the biggest stage.

Rodriguez's time with the Rangers ended unceremoniously, with Texas simply letting him walk without even offering him arbitration. A free agent for the first time, Rodriguez surprised a lot of people around baseball by signing a one-year deal with the young Florida Marlins. Not usually known for spending big bucks on free agents, the Marlins gave Rodriguez a one-year, $10 million deal, paying more than double what they paid anybody else on the roster. The hope was the Marlins could use Rodriguez's veteran experience to help their young future stars develop more, while Rodriguez could use his one-year contract to prove to the rest of baseball that he still had it.

Whether because of the presence of Rodriguez or because their younger players were ready to take the leap, the Marlins surprised everybody by making the playoffs in 2003. Their reward for earning just their second playoff berth ever was a first-round date with the defending National League champion Giants. After a split of the first two games in San Francisco, the Marlins came home to a rare sellout crowd for Game 3.

And that's when Pudge started building his legend. 

It started with a one-out double by Luis Castillo in the bottom of the first. After fouling off a couple of pitches, Rodriguez got an inside fastball and drilled it into the left field seats for his first postseason home run. The ecstatic Marlins leapt out of the dugout to meet Rodriguez, and he had to make it through a gauntlet of teammates just to put his catcher's gear back on. 

A 2-0 lead in the 1st inning isn't normally a big deal, especially with one of the best hitters of all time in the other dugout, but the Marlins made it last until the 6th inning. The Giants loaded the bases with one out against Marlins starter Mark Redman. Redman induced a ground ball from Jose Cruz, but Cruz beat the relay to first to prevent the double play and allow the Giants' first run to score. One batter later, the Giants tied the game, and the Marlins were left to rue the double play that wasn't turned.

From there, it was a contest to see who could leave the most runners on base, and in that regard, the Giants won. San Francisco left nine runners on base between the 6th and 10th innings without scoring a run. The Marlins left "only" seven on in that time, but that included the three left on base in the bottom of the 10th when pinch-hitter Lenny Harris popped out to third.

Finally, in the 11th inning, the Giants broke through, putting runners on the corners with nobody out thanks to a botched double play ground. After a sacrifice fly, they were ahead 3-2. But they weren't done, loading the bases for Cruz with still only one out. But Cruz grounded to the pitcher and Snow grounded to second to end the threat.

So now it was the bottom of the 11th, and it was Florida's last chance to rally. And their last chance started strangely, with Jeff Conine lifting a lazy flyball to right that Cruz just flat-out dropped. Nothing tricky about it - just a Major League outfielder dropping a fly ball. After a walk, Miguel Cabrera - yes, the one who is still playing, the one who will get his 3,000th career hit this season - dropped down a bunt to move the runners over. After an intentional walk, Luis Castillo grounded to reliever Tim Worrell. Worrell fell to the ground while trying to field it, but somehow grabbed it with his bare hand and got the throw home in time for the second out

How Game 3 ended. A much less
painful way to win a game.
So it was up to Pudge. Down by 1, two outs in the 9th. Pudge wanted to be batting in this situation, and the Marlins wanted him to be batting. He was the reason they had gotten this far in the first place. So his single to right seemed preordained. Two runs scored, and Marlins went crazy, and Rodriguez celebrated the greatest moment of his career.

A moment that ranked as number 1 for less than 24 hours.

Rodriguez only played one season for the Marlins, but they made it count, riding his leadership all the way to the World Series championship. It was the only title of Rodriguez's career. While he went into the Hall of Fame as a member of the Rangers, it was that World Series run - specifically his two game-saving moments against the Giants - that will be his biggest legacy.

Game 3, 2003 National League Division Series
Overall Rank: 8
Top 10 Swing: 225
Top play: Ivan Rodriguez's game-winning single (WPA of 73% for Florida)
Loser's largest WE: 90
T11, 1 out, bases loaded, San Francisco up 3-2, Jose Cruz batting
Average LI: 1.99
Highest leverage moment: 10.84 (Rodriguez's at bat in the bottom of the 11th)

Wednesday, March 30, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 9: The Start of Something New

Game 1, 1972 American League Championship Series: Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics

October 7, 1972, Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum, Oakland, California

The 1972 Oakland Athletics didn't look like any other team that preceded them. They had already ruffled some conservative feathers in the previous years by ditching the traditional white at home/gray on the road uniform combo and switching to a much bolder green and gold combination. 

Then, star outfielder Reggie Jackson showed up to 1972 spring training with a full beard. Oakland owner Charley Finley first hoped to convince Jackson to shave through reverse psychology by telling a couple of other players to grow moustaches. Finley hoped Jackson's rebellious nature would make him hate seeing other players copying him and decide to shave. Finley's plan backfired, and soon several other players were putting down the razor. Instead of punishing everybody, Finley leaned into it, encouraging his players to grow facial hair and even providing bonuses to anybody who could grow a moustache before Fathers Day. Soon every player on the A's roster had facial hair of some kind, when there had only been two players in the previous 70 years to do so. (It's remarkable how conservative the sport used to be, where green uniforms and moustaches were considered acts of rebellion). 

1972 was also notable for being the absolute nadir of offense in baseball. Aside from a few peaks and valleys here and there, Major League Baseball's average runs scored per game has generally held steady between 4 and 5 runs per game per team. When there has been a valley, baseball has usually taken action to correct it. The first major change came by replacing the rolled-up gray sock that doubled as a ball during the dead ball era with an actual modern baseball, which directly led to Babe Ruth's breakout; the second major change came after the 1968 season, when MLB lowered the height of the pitching mound to give hitters a chance.

Just three years into the lower mound era, offense cratered again in 1972. Only eight seasons in baseball history had less offense than 1972, and seven of those came during the dead ball/rolled-up sock era. MLB would react to 1972's lack of offense by adding the designated hitter to the American League, but that wouldn't happen until 1973, making this ALCS the last one without the DH. And if any series needed the offensive boost provided by a DH, it'd be this one. The A's and Tigers ranked second and third, respectively, in fewest runs allowed in an already offensively challenged season.

Since it was Game 1, it was a battle of the pitching aces, Catfish Hunter of the A's and Mickey Lolich of the Tigers. Norm Cash got to Hunter with a home run in the second, and Joe Rudi tied the game for the A's with a sacrifice fly in the third. And for quite a while, that was all. The Tigers only managed three hits off Hunter through eight innings, while the A's had seven hits but only the single run.

The Tigers finally knocked Hunter out of the game when Duke Sims led off the ninth with a double. Oakland had Rollie Fingers - who would become the second reliever elected to the Hall of Fame - ready in the bullpen, but they first went to start Vida Blue. Going with Blue instead of Fingers was a matter of the matchup - Cash was up next for Detroit, and though he had homered earlier in the game, he was miserable against lefties. Like a .149 batting average miserable. So the man who was responsible for Detroit's only run earlier in the game was relegated to a sacrifice bunt attempt in a tied 9th inning. Cash got the bunt down to move Sims to third, and Cash himself was safe when second baseman Ted Kubiak dropped the throw while covering first. With runners on first and third with nobody out, this was Detroit's first real threat of the game, but Fingers came in and cleaned up the mess, with help from an inning-ending double-play ball.

Because it was the 70s, Lolich kept on pitching for Detroit, and he threw 1-2-3 innings in both the 9th and 10th innings. Fingers was still in for Oakland, and he gave up a go-ahead home run to Al Kaline with one out in the 11th. Detroit kept the threat going with a Sims triple, but Fingers got two ground outs to make sure Oakland got to the bottom of the 11th only down 2-1.

With Lolich still in the game, Sal Bando led off the bottom of the 11th with a single, then saw pitcher Blue Moon Odom replace him as a pinch runner. Epstein then singled to left on a hit-and-run, but Odom tripped over the bag at second and was unable to advance any further. Finally Detroit went to the bullpen, bringing in Chuck Seelbach to face Oakland catcher Gene Tenace.

Gene Tenace wasn't known as being much of a bunter in 1972. In fact, he wasn't known for much of anything. It wasn't until the next season that he became a regular with Oakland, blasting home runs, drawing walks, and not doing much else. In 1972, he was still a part-time catcher with only two sacrifice bunts to his name. Perhaps it wasn't a surprise, then, when his bunt attempt went right to third baseman Aurelio Rodriguez, who threw to shortstop Ed Brinkman for the out at third. Brinkman then fired across to try to get the slow-footed Tenace at first. It looked at first like Detroit got the double play, but the throw pulled Cash off the bag, and the first-base umpire ruled Cash's tag attempt missed Tenace. 

So now the A's had one out, still with runners on first and second, but with a slower runner on first in Tenace. And Tenace's "speed" would come into play in the next at bat. Pinch-hitter Gonzalo Marquez singled through the hole between second and third, and Epstein scored easily from second. Tenace didn't hesitate rounding second and, adjusting his batting helmet on the fly, he headed for third. Kaline threw to third, but his throw hit a head-first-sliding Tenace in the spikes, bouncing past Rodriguez at third and allowing Tenace to score the winning run.

The gold jersey-wearing, moustache-clad Athletics celebrated their win, and they weren't done. They beat the Tigers in five games, then beat the Cincinnati Reds in a seven-game World Series. That World Series win was the first of three straight for Oakland, making them the only team not named the Yankees to win a three-peat. It was a green and gold wearing dynasty, which all started with a low-scoring, extra-inning classic.

Game 1, 1972 American League Championship Series
Overall Rank: 9
Top 10 Swing: 253
Top play: Gonzalo Marquez's game-winning single (WPA of 71% for Oakland)
Loser's largest WE: 91
T11, 1 out, runner on 3rd, Detroit up 2-1, Norm Cash batting
Average LI: 1.64
Highest leverage moment: 6.99 (B11, 1 out, runners on 1st and 2nd, Detroit up 2-1, Marquez batting)

Obligatory picture of the 1972 Athletics.
Behold the glory of 25 1970s-era moustaches.


Tuesday, March 29, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 10: The Unlucky vs. The Cursed

Game 1, 2003 American League Division Series: Boston Red Sox at Oakland Athletics

October 1, 2003, Network Associates Coliseum, Oakland, California

Oakland general manager Billy Beane, subject of the "Moneyball" book and movie, famously told the author of that book, Michael Lewis, that "My shit doesn't work in the playoffs." It wasn't meant as a complaint, but as a matter-of-fact statement: Getting to the playoffs was the goal; winning once you got there was all about luck.

Using that logic, the Athletics of the early 2000s were incredibly unlucky. They had made the playoffs three years in a row, only to lose in a deciding Game 5 of the ALDS all three times. The first two of those losses had been to the Yankees, which were at least understandable, but the most recent loss - to a just-happy-to-be-there Twins team in 2002 - was what really stung.

Oakland's 2003 postseason matchup must have been met with some optimism, then. This time they weren't facing the dynastic Yankees or the nothing-to-lose Twins, but the still-cursed Red Sox. They had to feel good about playing a team even more prone than devastating postseason losses than they were.

But facing the Boston Red Sox of the turn of the 21st Century meant facing prime Pedro Martinez, which meant your scoring opportunities would be limited. You had to take advantage of the few innings where Martinez might falter, and the A's did just that, scoring three runs in the bottom of the third and having a fourth thrown out at home. 

Behind Tim Hudson, the A's kept that lead into the top of the seventh, when a tiring and possibly hurt Hudson gave up a two-out single to Nomar Garciaparra. With lefty Todd Walker coming up next, the A's turned to their normally lights-out bullpen. Ricardo Rincon threw two out of the strike zone, then threw one in the zone. Walker liked the one in the zone and hit it out for his second home run of the game, giving the A's a 4-3 lead. 

Having given Martinez a lead for the second time in the game, the Red Sox must have felt comfortable. But as the bottom of the 7th approached, Martinez was approaching the dreaded 100-pitch mark. The Red Sox had a tough choice - keep riding their ace well past his normal expiration point, or turn the game over to their brutal bullpen. They picked option 1, and after a leadoff single, Martinez got two straight outs. He was also at 112 pitches, well into the danger zone. The A's knew what to do next - Mark Ellis drew a five-pitch walk, then Erubiel Durazo fought off Martinez for 11 pitches before walking himself. And now the bases were loaded with Oakland's number 3 hitter, Eric Chavez, batting. Martinez threw his 130th pitch of the night and Chavez took a big swing ... and popped it up behind the plate.

Damon in 2004, his 
Full Jesus stage
It was Boston's turn to load the bases with two outs in the top of the 8th. A still pre-Jesus Johnny Damon came to the plate with a chance to break the game open, but he grounded to third to keep the score 4-3.

On to the ninth. The A's got runners on 1st and 2nd with one out on Boston closer Byung-Hyun Kim. Kim got Ellis to strike out, then saw manager Grady Little coming out of the dugout. Little brought in Alan Embree for a lefty-vs-lefty matchup against Durazo. It seemed kind of weird to not let a closer finish things off, but it's the kind of move that more teams would have made today. Plus, the Red Sox had zero faith in their bullpen at that point. Anyway, Durazo instantly made the move look foolish with a single to left to tie the game. Chavez then hit a grounder that Garciaparra almost threw into the crowd before Kevin Millar saved the throw - and the game - with a great stretch and catch.

Both teams threatened in 11th, only to see potential rallies end with two-out strike outs. So on to the 12th, where both teams had starting pitchers in the game in relief, ready for the long haul. Manny Ramirez led off the 11th with a walk for Boston. Then after moving to second on a wild pitch, Ramirez stayed rooted there after a strike out and a pop out. Rich Harden walked Bill Mueller intentionally to set up a force play at third, and then Gabe Kapler grounded on sharply to third. Chavez, the AL Gold Glove winner at third base, made a sensational diving stop to save a run, then beat Ramirez to the base with a head-first slide to end the inning.

The old saying goes that if you end an inning in baseball by making a great play in the field, you naturally end up leading off the next inning. Well Chavez didn't lead off the bottom of the 12th, but he did find himself on second base with two outs. Chavez stole third during a walk to Scott Hatteberg, then stayed where he was as Hatteberg took second uncontested one pitch later. Little told Derek Lowe to walk Terrence Long; after first shaking his head "no" toward the dugout, Lowe did just that, bringing up catcher Ramon Hernandez with the bases loaded.

Lowe was worried about hitting or walking Hernandez to force in the game-winning run. What he was not worried about - and what nobody in the stadium was expecting - was Hernandez laying down a bunt. But Hernandez did just that, channeling Jake Taylor Paul Blair by dropping a bunt down the third base line. The ball bounced once off the plate and once on the grass, and by the time Bill Mueller picked it up, Chavez had scored and Hernandez had reached first.

The A's celebrated their tenacity and their catcher's guts to drop down a bunt in that situation. Maybe their playoff fortunes had finally turned around.

Well, nope. After winning Game 2, the A's lost the series, again dropping a five-game ALDS. The Red Sox were still cursed, but would break that curse for good the next October. The A's, meanwhile, have only won one playoff series since 1992.

Game 1, 2003 American League Division Series
Overall Rank: 10
Top 10 Swing: 226
Top play: Erubiel Durazo's game-tying single in the 9th (WPA of 46% for Oakland)
Loser's largest WE: 88
B9, 1 out, nobody on, Boston up 4-3
Average LI: 1.96
Highest leverage moment: 7.16 (B9, 1 out, runners on 1st and 2nd, Boston up 4-3, Mark Ellis batting)

Monday, March 28, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 11: The Pandemic Classic

Game 4, 2020 World Series: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

October 24, 2020, Globe Life Field, Arlington, Texas

Dodgers lead series 2-1

Despite his best efforts, Brett Phillips cannot fly.
If there was an image that could succinctly capture the strangeness and awkwardness that was the pandemic-shortened 2020 Major League season, it was this: Tampa Bay's Randy Arozarena was laying flat on his stomach in the batters' box, slapping his hand on home plate in celebration, while his teammate Brett Phillips was running around in shallow left field with his arms spread out like an airplane's wings, all while Los Angeles catcher Will Smith was futilely chasing after the loose ball behind the plate. And all of this was happening in of a quarter-full stadium of mostly neutral fans more than 900 miles from either team's home park.

The game was chaotic enough even without the ending. The teams traded leads three times between the sixth and eighth innings. They combined to use 13 pitchers; 9 of those pitchers gave up at least one run. The Rays used every position player except their backup catcher. And that was all in just the first 8 innings.

Trailing 7-6 entering the bottom of the 9th, three outs from being down 3-1 in the series, the Rays struggled to start a comeback. Leadoff hitter Yoshi Tsutsugo struck out. After a Kevin Kiermaier broken-bat single - a ball that Kiké Hernandez just missed catching - Joey Wendle flied out to center. That left the Rays with a runner on first with two outs, a 10 percent chance of winning. A walk to Arozarena came next, bringing up former pinch-runner Brett Phillips for only his third at bat of the entire postseason.

And that's when the chaos started.

The single to center was simple enough. That ball, with the speed of Kiermaier at second, would have been enough to tie the game. But shortstop turned centerfielder Chris Taylor bobbled the grounder, so Arozarena kept running. Taylor threw in to first baseman Max Muncy, who turned to throw home, which is right around the time that Arozarena slipped and did a somersault. As Muncy threw home, Arozarena started heading back to third, but Smith didn't see that, so he tried to catch Muncy's throw and tag Arozarena at the same time. Arozarena wasn't there, but the ball wasn't either, bouncing away from Smith toward the Dodgers dugout. Arozarena changed directions again, and before anybody could react he was slapping home plate and Phillips was flying through the outfield.  

More flying.

The best games leave everybody exhausted. The Dodgers trudged out of their dugout in glassy-eyed silence. Phillips ended his attempts at taking flight and bent over with his hands on his knees, so shocked his teammates were genuinely worried about him. Arozarena had a big grin on his face, but only enough energy for a few high-fives. No airplanes for him.

And then we were reminded of what we'd been missing. If you watched the broadcast, it seem loud, but Fox had pumped in fake noise to the television feed all postseason, so in reality it was 11,441 fans in a stadium that held 40,300, cheering for an amazing game between two teams they mostly didn't care about. Picture the noise if the game had been in St. Petersburg: The initial burst when Phillips got the hit, the louder burst when Taylor bobbled the ball, the loudest one when the throw home went awry. They would have torn the roof off of Tropicana Field.

But it was, strangely enough, in Texas. A strange play in a strange location, perfectly fitting for a strange season.

Game 4, 2020 World Series
Overall Rank: 11
Top 10 Swing: 254
Top play: Brett Phillips' game-winning single (WPA of 82% for Tampa Bay - the third highest single-play WPA in World Series history)
Loser's largest WE: 90
B9, 2 out, runner on first, Los Angeles up 7-6
Average LI: 1.65
Highest leverage moment: 6.72 (Phillips' game-ending at bat)

Sunday, March 27, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 12: The Other Jordan, the Other Two-Sport Star

Game 3, 1999 National League Division Series: Atlanta Braves at Houston Astros

October 8, 1999, Astrodome, Houston, Texas

Series tied 1-1

Sanders (left) and Jordan (right) pose with a
non-baseball-playing teammate.
 
Of all the people who played for both the Atlanta Falcons and the Atlanta Braves in the 1990s, Brian Jordan was easily the least famous. Deion Sanders got all the attention, and rightfully so; not only did Sanders play football and baseball at the same time (and once on the same day), he was one of the best football players of his generation. Jordan, meanwhile, was much better at baseball than Sanders was, to the point that he gave up on his NFL career after two seasons to focus solely on baseball.

Sanders was mostly done with baseball when Jordan reached his peak, crushing National League pitching in 1998 with 70 home run-hitter Mark McGwire batting right behind him. Jordan turned that season into a free agent contract with Atlanta, and he continued his hot hitting until a wrist injury slowed him down at the end of the season. He hit only .239 with 1 home run in the final 40 games of the season, but he was still Atlanta's cleanup hitter as they entered the National League Division Series against Houston.

After a split of the first two games in Atlanta, Houston took an early 2-0 lead in Game 3, holding that lead until the top of the sixth, when Atlanta threatened for the first time. Starting pitcher Tom Glavine led off the sixth, something that likely wouldn't have happened in 2021; teams would have easily pinch-hit for their starter while trailing 2-0 in the 6th in virtually any game in 2021, especially a playoff game. But this was 1999, and starters were supposed to give you 7 innings no matter what, so Glavine batted and grounded out.

That was when Gerald Williams came up. As the Braves' leadoff hitter, this was Williams' third at bat of the game. Again, in today's game, the Astros would have been watching pitcher Mike Hampton's workload very carefully, as teams are very quick to remove starters when they start facing hitters for the third time. But this was 1999, and starters were supposed to give you 7 innings, so Hampton stayed in. He got Williams to pop out, but Bret Boone singled, then moved to second on a wild pitch. Chipper Jones was walked, bringing up Jordan. 

It's possible that the walk to Jones wasn't exactly accidental, considering Jordan's late-season slump. Even though a walk put the tying run on base, Jones was likely viewed as a more dangerous hitter. But Jordan made Houston pay for the walk, blasting the first pitch deep to left to give the Braves the lead.

Both starting pitchers were replaced by pinch hitters in the 7th. Atlanta put in Walt Weiss, who grounded out, but Houston's pinch hitter, Russ Johnson, doubled to left to start a rally. Glen Barker ran for Johnson and eventually came home on Bill Spiers' one-out single to left. The Astros ended up loading the bases with one out, but reliever Mike Remlinger got a strike out and a fly out to escape further damage. 

Ahead to the 10th, when Williams hit a one-out infield single and was replaced by pinch-runner Otis Nixon. Throughout his career, and especially at this late stage, Nixon existed for one reason, and that was to steal bases. And that's what he did, stealing second and moving to third on a throwing error. After a strike out, Jones was intentionally walked and Jordan was unintentionally walked before Andruw Jones flied out to end the threat.

After escaping the top half of the inning, the Astros loaded the bases in the bottom of the 10th with nobody out. Atlanta brought in closer/bigot John Rocker to a nearly impossible situation, asking him to get three outs without allowing a run to score. The first batter, Carl Everett, grounded to first, where Atlanta got a force at home. The next batter, Tony Eusebio, hit a sharp grounder that Weiss somehow stopped at short, turning to make a great throw to home for the second out. Picked up by his defense, Rocker then struck out Ricky Guiterrez to escape the inning.

In the 12th, the Braves threatened again. Two straight singles put runners on first and second with one out and Chipper Jones up. Jones grounded out, but the runners advanced, putting runners on second and third with two out. Jordan was up again, with first base open. The logical play may have been to walk Jordan, especially after his cannon shot home run in the 6th. But the Astros, either because they were more afraid of Andruw Jones batting behind him or were still focused on Jordan's injury and slump, decided to pitch to Jordan. Another first-pitch swing, another extra-base hit, this time a double that scored two runs. 

Now leading 5-3, but having already used their closer, Atlanta used Game 2 starter Kevin Millwood  as their closer. It was an odd choice to use a pitcher that had thrown a complete game two days before, but Millwood had only give up one hit in that complete game, so maybe Atlanta thought he'd carry it over to this game. And, well, he did. Three batters, three outs, and Atlanta had a 2-1 series lead. 

Game 3, 1999 NLDS
Overall Rank: 12
Top 10 Swing: 217
Top play: Brian Jordan's go-ahead double in the 12th (WPA of 41% for Atlanta)
Loser's largest WE: 94
B10, 0 out, bases loaded, tied 3-3, Carl Everett up for Houston 
Average LI: 1.84
Highest leverage moment: 6.90 (T10, 2 out, bases loaded, tied 3-3, Andruw Jones up for Atlanta)

 

Saturday, March 26, 2022

Baseball's Most Exciting Games, No. 13: A Crossroads in the Bronx

Game 2, 1995 American League Division Series: Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees

October 4, 1995, Yankee Stadium, Bronx, New York

Yankees lead series 1-0

To this day, the most famous game of the 1995 American League Division Series was the last one. After overcoming a 2-0 series deficit to force a game 5, the Mariners came from behind in 8th inning to force extra innings, then came from behind again in the 11th, winning the game and series on Edgar Martinez's double. That hit is the greatest moment in Mariners' franchise history by such a large margin that the real discussion is what game would rank second. The double was the career-defining hit in the Martinez's Hall-of-Fame career, and that winning run was probably the greatest individual moment in Griffey's Hall-of-Fame career. It's one of those games that will live on in baseball lore, its memory long outliving the people who played in it or the people who watched it. It is a truly timeless game.

But it wasn't the best game of that series. At least not by the way I've been measuring them.

That distinction belongs to Game 2, a five-hour affair that ended during a steady rain at nearly 1:30 in the morning. The losing pitcher was a starter pitching his fourth inning in relief; the winning pitcher was a failed starter who was pitching in the first of his eventual 96 career postseason appearances. And while the team that won Game 2 didn't end up winning the series, that game may have set the stage for the start of one dynasty and the failure of another one.

Before we get to the early-morning rain, we have to make it through the early part of the game. Back-to-back 6th-inning home runs gave the Yankees a 3-2 lead. The Mariners responded by scoring two in the 7th. Paul O'Neill got the Yankees back to even with a two-run home run in the bottom of the seventh.

And then there was four innings of virtually nothing. Only one runner made it as far as second base from the 8th inning through the 11th. Yankees closer John Wetteland, pitching his third inning of relief, got the first two Mariners out in the top of the 12th, as well, bringing Griffey to the plate with nobody on and two outs.

Playing in his first postseason, Griffey had told his Mariners teammates before the playoffs started to jump on his back and let him carry him. Surly inspired by his friend Kirby Puckett's similar speech in 1991, Griffey also followed Puckett's lead by backing up his talk. He homered twice in a losing effort in Game 1, then hit the biggest home run of his life to put the Mariners ahead in Game 2.

Holding an extra-inning lead, the Mariners didn't go to normal closer Bobby Ayala - who had been lit up in a non-save situation the night before - but instead went to starter Tim Belcher to try to close out the win. After two one-out walks, that was starting to look like a very bad decision. With a 2-0 count and two runners on, O'Neill lifted a flyball down the left field line that caused him to slam his bat down in disgust. But the Mariners were playing O'Neill to pull, so shaded around to right, and it took a diving catch by left fielder Alex Diaz to prevent the hit and keep the Mariners ahead.

That reprieve lasted one batter. Ruben Sierra hit one deep to left field; Diaz approached the fence tentatively, as if he thought it was going out. But the ball hit the very top of the wall and caromed right back at Diaz. Taking advantage of the fortunate hop, Diaz started the relay that nailed Bernie Williams at home to end the inning. The Yankees had tied the game, but the Mariners had survived to play another inning.

As the rain started to fall, the game became a battel between Belcher, a long-time starter playing in the postseason for his third different team, and Mariano Rivera, pitching in the first postseason game of his Hall-of-Fame career. Rivera cruised through his first two full innings, including striking out the side in the top of the 14th. Belcher had a little more difficulty, allowing a leadoff single in both the 13th and 14th, but was able to escape without further trouble both times. 

In the top of the 15th, Rivera's legendary cutter started to make its first appearance. First, Griffey was a victim, swinging at a pitch over the plate but making contact with a ball in on his hands for a soft fly out to start the inning. After two singles and a strike out, Tino Martinez met the same fate - swinging at a ball over the middle but hitting a ball in on his hands for a soft fly out. 

Jim Leyritz about to do end the game. Kind of a
weird batting stance, no?
And so came the bottom of the 15th, and a tiring Belcher pitching in the rain after 1:00 in the morning in the Bronx. After a ground out and a walk, Jim Leyritz came up and finally put everybody to bed.

Despite losing the heartbreaker in Game 2, the Mariners ended up winning the series. That's already been mentioned. But this was the only postseason series the Mariners won with all four future or should be hall-of-famers on the roster (besides Griffey and Martinez,  Randy Johnson would win Game 3 of the series as a starter and Game 5 in relief, and Alex Rodriguez was a rookie part-time shortstop who didn't even play in Game 2). Griffey and Johnson were both gone by the time the year 2000 rolled along, and only Martinez was left on the Mariners team that won 116 games in 2001. After that team lost in the ALCS, the Mariners began a postseason drought that is still active today. A would-be dynasty ended up fizzling out before reaching the promised land. 

The young Yankees players, meanwhile, learned that they could compete with the best. Led by O'Neill and Williams and Rivera, and with the addition of Tino Martinez from the Mariners and Derek Jeter from the minors, the Yankees would win four of the next five World Series, becoming the dynasty everybody thought the Mariners would become.

Game 2, 1995 American League Division Series
Overall Rank: 13
Top 10 Swing: 236
Top play: Ken Griffey Jr. homers off John Wetteland in T12 (WPA of 40% for Seattle)*
Loser's largest WE: 87
B12, 1 out, nobody on, Seattle up 5-4
Average LI: 1.85
Highest leverage moment: 7.16 (Seattle up 5-4, B12, runners on 1st and 2nd, 1 out, Paul O'Neill up)

*New York's top moment was Leyritz's game-winning home run (WPA of 36%)